Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2198.331447 2386.754768 2577.967304 2786.243621 3006.418343 3231.955509 3480.152884
2025-02-16 1866.314661 2143.503677 2435.867794 2766.065225 3127.460014 3509.843745 3943.871035
2025-02-23 1685.841954 2018.323994 2379.010003 2796.992463 3265.633458 3772.527640 4359.862376
2025-03-02 1527.847235 1896.762539 2306.820064 2792.505899 3348.110779 3960.012151 4680.923976
2025-03-09 1427.057869 1828.499777 2284.164517 2833.960991 3473.563109 4188.538654 5042.399142
2025-03-16 1304.923614 1724.885548 2211.435208 2809.060657 3515.490693 4316.284243 5284.769505
2025-03-23 1245.473345 1690.624426 2215.374823 2869.594102 3653.176204 4551.625306 5649.362036
2025-03-30 1169.980486 1631.154598 2184.281988 2884.084004 3733.105506 4717.389071 5931.827269
2025-04-06 1096.605439 1569.419230 2146.133346 2886.152604 3795.013668 4859.691467 6185.408515
2025-04-13 990.359501 1459.708947 2043.047825 2803.304239 3749.551442 4870.557018 6280.185728
2025-04-20 969.795099 1459.470523 2076.149425 2888.589349 3909.105461 5127.410680 6669.625027
2025-04-27 935.350172 1438.621857 2081.171044 2937.169340 4022.529620 5328.384846 6992.580184
2025-05-04 879.417963 1387.027662 2045.383384 2933.593775 4071.750351 5453.112958 7226.745277
2025-05-11 820.002405 1327.683224 1996.938566 2911.621278 4096.332139 5546.881596 7423.347706
2025-05-18 786.045481 1301.767334 1991.152812 2943.730588 4188.675949 5724.178185 7722.910940
2025-05-25 740.984616 1257.669790 1958.814431 2939.074818 4232.502509 5840.177956 7946.540628
2025-06-01 716.109919 1241.237126 1962.998004 2982.088209 4337.522049 6033.105634 8266.631756
2025-06-08 669.284055 1190.190857 1917.327665 2956.252645 4351.277334 6109.701299 8440.754970
2025-06-15 654.965664 1186.711496 1937.360627 3019.055666 4481.404654 6334.658854 8802.465701
2025-06-22 626.196419 1159.856565 1923.182189 3034.086839 4547.744167 6477.945699 9061.439708
2025-06-29 595.198258 1127.989742 1900.501164 3036.232649 4596.109280 6597.761257 9290.777290
2025-07-06 540.079621 1055.494695 1816.462925 2950.279692 4523.855145 6559.609066 9316.882345
2025-07-13 538.138250 1067.601377 1856.200813 3038.760325 4688.176976 6830.322628 9740.886247